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Waveguide or not? Revised ground motion simulations for greater Los Angeles from the M7.8 ShakeOut earthquake scenario
  • Te-Yang Yeh,
  • Kim Olsen
Te-Yang Yeh
San Diego State University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Kim Olsen
San Diego State University
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Abstract

The ShakeOut scenario of a M7.8 northwestward rupture on the southern San Andreas fault (SSAF) (Jones et al., 2008) predicted significant long-period ground motion amplification in the greater Los Angeles, CA, area, caused by a waveguide from interconnected sedimentary basins. However, the early ShakeOut ground motion simulations omitted important model features with immature versions of the velocity structure and fault geometry. Here, we present 0-1 Hz 3D numerical wave propagation simulations for the ShakeOut scenario including surface topography, as well as updated high-resolution velocity structure and SSAF fault geometry. Spectral Accelerations at 3s are increased by the local high-resolution basin models (25-45%) but decreased from complexity in velocity and density updates outside the basins (65-100%) and inclusion of surface topography (~30%). The updated model reduces peak ground velocities in the waveguide from ~250 cm/s to ~100 cm/s, significantly closer to the values predicted by a leading NGA-West2 ground motion model.
30 May 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
30 May 2024Published in ESS Open Archive